近来，不少读者关心当前养鹿形势，有无风险，能不能赚钱，前景如何等等。现摘录中国农科院特产研究所赵世臻先生的见解如下：
Recently, many readers concerned about the current situation of deer, with or without risk, can make money, prospects and so on. Excerpts Mr. Zhao Shizhen Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences Institute of Special insight as follows:
1、养鹿形势尽管养鹿业还没有完全从20世纪90年代后期出现的阴影中走出来，但发展趋势是十分喜人的，主要表现在：
1, although the situation Deer deer industry has not yet fully emerged from the shadows of the late 1990s, in the past, but the trend is very encouraging, mainly in:
①华北、华南、华中地区各省市县每年都从东北购买大批种鹿。据吉林省林业厅的统计，吉林省正式出省的种鹿，1998年和1999年两年不下5万-6万只。
① North, South, Central China provinces County have purchased a large number of species of deer from the northeast every year. According to statistics of the Forestry Department of Jilin Province, Jilin Province officially a species of deer in 1998 and 1999, less than two years 50 000 -6 million.
②供销渠道正在形成。现在全国几乎到处都有鹿产品经销商在活动，仅辽宁西丰、吉林双阳两地经销的鹿产品差不多占全国的1/4-1/3，鹿产品购销已非难事。
② supply and marketing channels being formed. Now the country is almost everywhere deer product dealers in the event, only Liaoning Xifeng, sika deer distribution of the two products accounting for about 1 / 4-1 / 3, deer product marketing-pei.
③养鹿队伍不断壮大，技术普及不断深入。几十年来，仅东北地区的养鹿科研机构、大专院校、几十个国有鹿场通过各种形式培养了大批养鹿技术人才，他们已成为养鹿业的骨干力量。30年来，通过各种方式出版了大量养鹿书籍和学术论文，获各级政府奖励的科研成果达100余项。
③ Deer has expanded steadily and technology popularization deepening. For decades, research institutions only deer in Northeast China, universities, dozens of state-owned deer farm through various forms of training a large number of deer and technical personnel, they have become the backbone of Deer Industry. 30 years, through a variety of ways Deer published a large number of books and papers, won awards at all levels of government more than 100 scientific research.
2、养鹿有无风险确切地说，养鹿还是有风险的，风险之一来自市场，国内市场还很脆弱，国际市场风云莫测。风险之二是鹿的病害。前者我们不能控制，后者可以通过科学的喂养和卫生防疫得到控制。
2, whether the risk rather Deer, deer or a risk, one of the risks from the market, the domestic market is still fragile, the international market situation unpredictable. Two deer risk of disease. We can not control the former, the latter can be controlled through scientific feeding and health and epidemic prevention.
同时也应看到养鹿的机遇。一是随着国民经济的发展，人民生活水平的提高，鹿产品会越来越受欢迎。二是现代高新技术的发展，会带动养鹿技术发展。三是国家正在调整农业产业结构，由传统农业向名、特、优、新农业倾斜，给养鹿业发展提供了契机。
At the same time we should also see deer opportunities. First, with the development of national economy and people's living standards improve, deer products will become increasingly popular. The second is the development of modern high-tech, technology development will lead Deer. Third countries are adjusting the agricultural structure, from traditional agriculture to name, special, excellent, new agricultural inclined to Deer Industry Development provided an opportunity.
3、养鹿能不能赚钱不论是以前、现在还是今后，养鹿赚钱是肯定的，只是赚多与赚少的问题。当然，养鹿不是短平快项目，其一次性投资较大，如建舍、引种等，十几只鹿得花几万元，而正常售鹿茸和仔鹿获利，在一般情况下，得3-4年才回本，相对见效慢。但回本之后鹿就是“摇钱树”、“聚宝盆”了。因农民养鹿劳力和部分饲料可以不计成本或成本很低。如每年每只鹿产三杈茸鲜重2.5公斤，折干重0.9公斤，以1999年每公斤售价2500元计，能卖2250元。如产二杠鲜茸重1.5公斤，每公斤售价1200-1300元，则能卖1800-1950元。母鹿产仔1只，仔鹿平均售价2500元/只。算大账平均每只鹿纯盈利1000-1500元。
3, Deer can make money, whether past, present or future, deer money is in the affirmative, but earn more and earn less of a problem. Of course, the deer is not fast track project, the one-time investment is large, such as building homes, introduction, etc., a dozen deer have to spend thousands of dollars, while the normal sale of velvet and Fawn profit, in general, give 3-4 years to return to this, relatively slow effect. But after the return of the deer is the "cash cow", "cornucopia" of the. Deer farmers because some feed and labor can regardless of the cost or low cost. As per annual production of three - branched velvet deer fresh weight of 2.5 kg, on a dry weight of 0.9 kg to 1999 kg per meter price of 2500 yuan, 2250 yuan to sell. Such as producing two bars of fresh and dried weight of 1.5 kg, the price per kilogram 1200-1300 yuan, it can sell 1800-1950 yuan. A doe litter, Fawn average price of 2,500 yuan / only. General account average net profit 1000-1500 yuan per deer.
4、养鹿前景如何应当说养鹿前景看好，好在我国鹿种资源丰富，不论引种梅花鹿还是马鹿都不困难。不过我劝朋友们引种时要注意种鹿的质量，不引低产鹿、老弱病鹿，尤其是从贩子手中引种更应注意。另外，我国饲料资源丰富，牛马能吃的饲料鹿都能吃，加之鹿的适应性强，全国各地都能养。随着人们生活水平的提高不但需要鹿茸、鹿血、鹿鞭等保健物品，还需要鹿肉、鹿筋、鹿尾等美味佳肴。问题是我们应当继续深入地加强对鹿的科学研究，在高产、优质、低耗上做文章，扩大宣传，使鹿产品走入千家万户。
4, it should be said Deer Deer prospects promising, but fortunately rich resources of species of deer, sika deer or red deer regardless of introduction is not difficult. But I would advise my friends to pay attention to quality when the introduction of species of deer, deer are not cited low yield, the elderly and deer, especially should pay attention to the introduction from the hands of traffickers. In addition, China is rich in resources, feed, cattle eat feed deer can eat, plus deer adaptability, the country can support. With the improvement of people's living standards requires not only velvet, Lu Xue, deer and other health care items, but also venison, Lu Jin, deer tail and other delicacies. The problem is that we should continue to further strengthen the scientific research on deer, in high yield, low on fuss, expand publicity, so deer products into millions of households.
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